Hurricane Earl

This is a preliminary statement regarding future impact of hurricane Earl in Eastern Canada.

Based on the large-scale weather pattern and computer models.. Hurricane Earl will likely play a role in the weather over Eastern Canada in the Friday to Sunday timeframe.

There remains a broad range of future tracks for hurricane Earl which is now north Of Puerto Rico and moving northwest. The range of possible track scenarios are as far west as Maine to as far east as eastern Newfoundland. Thus.. it is too early to describe details of potential Impacts.. but important to realize that a storm of this nature affecting land would bring heavy rains.. strong winds.. and large waves.

Regular 6-hourly forecasts from the CHC will commence today at 3 PM Atlantic time. As time goes on we will provide increasing level of detail as is appropriate.

At this point.. probabilistic computer models show a 40 percent chance of tropical storm-force winds (about 70 km/h) over Western Nova Scotia by the weekend. The probability of hurricane-force winds over land is low at this time since we are still about 4 days away..

But we will have more information on that in our afternoon technical discussion.

The primary message at this point is to stay tuned for updated forecasts under this header and the CHC website.. and to note That the Friday to Sunday timeframe is the period of impact or closest approach to Eastern Canada.

For more information and updates, see:
http://www.weatheroffice.gc.ca/hurricane/
statements_e.html